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Qual 372025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red227
354653.9
1058964.7
276781.5
Blue137
600248.6
584349.6
81536.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214150100200250300227137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+68Teleop
+90Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave6
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points28
47Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +55
26Coral scored#22
92Coral points79
5Processor algae#2
8Net algae#2
30Processor points12
32Net points8
62Algae points20
154Total teleop99
Reef
9L4#7
11L3#10
8L2#7
7L1 · trough#4
48Game pieces#32
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
0Foul points0
227Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#4
81.51.7
78.4→80.1
Auto24.3
Teleop46.6
End10.6
red by 31.9
5843
#34
49.61.2
50.3→49.1
Auto10.6
Teleop30.7
End8.3
Second
10589
#25
64.71.7
67.1→68.8
Auto14.4
Teleop48.0
End2.4
red by 16.1
6002
#40
48.61.2
56.2→55.0
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.6
Third
3546
#24
53.91.7
45.2→46.9
Auto14.0
Teleop36.5
End3.3
red by 17.3
815
#38
36.51.2
36.7→35.6
Auto7.1
Teleop28.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsMissed