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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149145100120160180200220240150136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+36Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave0
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points16
36Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +16
22Coral scored#15
78Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
12Processor points12
20Net points28
32Algae points40
110Total teleop94
Reef
9L4#8
8L3#5
4L2#3
8L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
150Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#19
57.80.4
53.353.7
Auto11.7
Teleop38.8
End7.3
blue by 0.1
217
#8
57.90.3
50.450.1
Auto10.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
Second
5436
#32
46.90.4
42.042.4
Auto11.0
Teleop27.4
End8.5
blue by 5.4
7174
#12
52.30.3
46.746.4
Auto14.7
Teleop31.0
End6.6
Third
8352
#27
33.00.4
36.837.3
Auto5.8
Teleop25.7
End1.6
blue by 4.1
5110
#35
37.10.3
32.732.4
Auto6.7
Teleop25.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned42%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned