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Qual 482025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red170
511037.1
285150.8
584349.6
Blue171
612037.6
485539.1
776973.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15116350100200250300170171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+1
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points28
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +13
22Coral scored#24
79Coral points88
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
30Processor points12
24Net points20
54Algae points32
133Total teleop120
Reef
8L4#10
8L3#7
8L2#7
2L1 · trough#6
37Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
170Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2851
#20
50.81.5
49.8→51.3
Auto7.1
Teleop42.5
End1.1
blue by 22.3
7769
#13
73.01.0
66.7→67.7
Auto17.7
Teleop42.8
End12.5
Second
5843
#34
49.61.5
49.6→51.1
Auto10.6
Teleop30.7
End8.3
red by 10.6
4855
#26
39.11.0
39.9→40.8
Auto9.1
Teleop27.0
End3.0
Third
5110
#35
37.11.5
34.3→35.8
Auto6.7
Teleop25.8
End4.6
blue by 0.5
6120
#30
37.61.0
35.9→36.8
Auto9.0
Teleop21.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned