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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171157120140180200220176177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+1Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +1
21Coral scored#21
76Coral points75
3Processor algae#5
7Net algae#4
18Processor points30
28Net points16
46Algae points46
122Total teleop121
Reef
8L4#10
12L3#6
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
176Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.31.0
60.361.2
Auto8.6
Teleop43.4
End11.3
blue by 17.0
67
#1
80.41.8
74.476.2
Auto17.3
Teleop52.3
End10.7
Second
5505
#16
61.01.0
54.955.8
Auto13.0
Teleop36.0
End12.0
red by 24.5
815
#38
36.51.8
33.335.1
Auto7.1
Teleop28.6
End0.8
Third
8352
#27
33.01.0
35.036.0
Auto5.8
Teleop25.7
End1.6
blue by 3.3
6033
#18
36.41.8
30.832.6
Auto5.8
Teleop21.3
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsEarned53%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned