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Qual 502025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red205
1065431.4
439179.1
686140.0
Blue214
717452.3
168448.7
366857.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170172140160180200220205214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+9
Endgame+21
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave3
4Coral scored#8
20Coral points41
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +12
28Coral scored#28
100Coral points102
4Processor algae#3
8Net algae#6
24Processor points18
32Net points24
56Algae points42
156Total teleop144
Reef
14L4#9
10L3#14
5L2#9
3L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
12Foul points0
205Total score214

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#11
79.11.1
79.3→80.4
Auto15.0
Teleop54.4
End9.6
red by 21.3
3668
#19
57.82.5
57.4→59.9
Auto11.7
Teleop38.8
End7.3
Second
6861
#37
40.01.1
42.8→43.8
Auto6.5
Teleop26.8
End6.7
blue by 12.3
7174
#12
52.32.5
47.2→49.7
Auto14.7
Teleop31.0
End6.6
Third
10654
#28
31.41.1
30.7→31.8
Auto6.7
Teleop24.0
End0.8
blue by 17.3
1684
#29
48.72.5
45.2→47.7
Auto9.9
Teleop32.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned