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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218165100150200250300204188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+14Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave0
10Coral scored#7
49Coral points33
58Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +11
25Coral scored#23
90Coral points81
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#8
18Processor points18
12Net points32
30Algae points50
120Total teleop131
Reef
16L4#13
9L3#8
5L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#41
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
204Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.50.3
81.881.5
Auto24.3
Teleop46.6
End10.6
red by 19.3
5114
#15
62.21.4
56.658.1
Auto18.8
Teleop34.8
End8.6
Second
70.70.3
67.066.8
Auto15.6
Teleop45.4
End9.7
red by 20.3
50.51.4
53.354.7
Auto7.5
Teleop42.0
End1.0
Third
217
#8
57.90.3
50.550.2
Auto10.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
red by 15.1
5534
#39
42.71.4
45.546.9
Auto5.7
Teleop30.9
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned69%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned