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Qual 602025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red182
717452.3
283463.8
81536.5
Blue99
600248.6
553442.7
285150.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15617510020025018299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+34Auto
+71Teleop
+83Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +34
3Leave0
10Coral scored#4
50Coral points19
53Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +37
20Coral scored#13
71Coral points48
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
18Processor points12
24Net points16
42Algae points28
113Total teleop76
Reef
15L4#6
5L3#4
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points0
182Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2834
#2
63.82.2
53.3→55.4
Auto18.1
Teleop37.1
End8.5
red by 13.0
2851
#20
50.84.3
51.3→47.0
Auto7.1
Teleop42.5
End1.1
Second
7174
#12
52.32.2
49.7→51.9
Auto14.7
Teleop31.0
End6.6
red by 3.7
6002
#40
48.64.3
54.5→50.2
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.6
Third
815
#38
36.52.2
35.1→37.3
Auto7.1
Teleop28.6
End0.8
blue by 6.2
5534
#39
42.74.3
46.9→42.6
Auto5.7
Teleop30.9
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsEarned77%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsMissed