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Qual 612025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red212
553563.3
657048.4
6780.4
Blue117
439850.5
354653.9
835233.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214156100200250300212117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+81Teleop
+93Endgame
+95Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points16
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +60
30Coral scored#17
107Coral points61
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#2
12Processor points18
28Net points8
40Algae points26
147Total teleop87
Reef
11L4#8
8L3#5
11L2#3
7L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +95
2Foul points0
212Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
80.40.7
76.2→77.0
Auto17.3
Teleop52.3
End10.7
red by 26.5
3546
#24
53.92.5
53.4→50.8
Auto14.0
Teleop36.5
End3.3
Second
5535
#7
63.30.7
60.1→60.8
Auto8.6
Teleop43.4
End11.3
red by 12.9
4398
#6
50.52.5
53.3→50.7
Auto7.5
Teleop42.0
End1.0
Third
6570
#21
48.40.7
48.4→49.1
Auto6.4
Teleop31.2
End10.8
red by 15.4
8352
#27
33.02.5
36.6→34.1
Auto5.8
Teleop25.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned73%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned