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Qual 622025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red143
603336.4
262044.1
168448.7
Blue161
54849.0
21757.9
584349.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132177100150200250143161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +11
19Coral scored#20
68Coral points71
3Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
18Processor points18
8Net points16
26Algae points34
94Total teleop105
Reef
9L4#7
7L3#7
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
27Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
143Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#29
48.70.6
46.6→47.2
Auto9.9
Teleop32.6
End6.3
blue by 9.1
217
#8
57.90.6
52.7→52.1
Auto10.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
Second
2620
#31
44.10.6
40.4→41.0
Auto10.4
Teleop25.7
End8.0
blue by 5.5
5843
#34
49.60.6
49.9→49.3
Auto10.6
Teleop30.7
End8.3
Third
6033
#18
36.40.6
33.2→33.8
Auto5.8
Teleop21.3
End9.3
blue by 12.7
548
#10
49.00.6
53.4→52.8
Auto8.1
Teleop34.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed66%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned