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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156201250189201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points35
44Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +15
23Coral scored#26
81Coral points94
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#6
12Processor points6
16Net points24
28Algae points30
109Total teleop124
Reef
8L4#13
10L3#8
8L2#9
5L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
189Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7769
#13
73.02.2
68.670.8
Auto17.7
Teleop42.8
End12.5
blue by 8.5
81.50.7
79.980.6
Auto24.3
Teleop46.6
End10.6
Second
5436
#32
46.92.2
42.044.2
Auto11.0
Teleop27.4
End8.5
blue by 18.9
65.90.7
59.760.4
Auto12.5
Teleop42.6
End10.7
Third
5695
#36
37.72.2
33.535.8
Auto7.3
Teleop26.1
End4.3
Level
6120
#30
37.60.7
39.340.0
Auto9.0
Teleop21.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsEarned87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned