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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164161100120140180200220180140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+22Teleop
+46Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
9Leave3
8Coral scored#4
38Coral points22
47Total auto25
Teleoperatedlevel
21Coral scored#23
77Coral points81
1Processor algae#3
6Net algae#2
6Processor points18
24Net points8
30Algae points26
107Total teleop107
Reef
10L4#7
8L3#10
7L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#32
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points6
180Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.82.1
55.457.5
Auto18.1
Teleop37.1
End8.5
blue by 1.0
64.70.6
67.767.1
Auto14.4
Teleop48.0
End2.4
Second
5505
#16
61.02.1
54.456.5
Auto13.0
Teleop36.0
End12.0
red by 18.2
5534
#39
42.70.6
42.642.0
Auto5.7
Teleop30.9
End6.1
Third
5110
#35
37.12.1
36.438.5
Auto6.7
Teleop25.8
End4.6
red by 5.7
31.40.6
30.229.5
Auto6.7
Teleop24.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsMissed64%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed