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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165210100150250300196193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+17Teleop
+7Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +10
29Coral scored#29
106Coral points106
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
24Processor points18
20Net points16
44Algae points34
150Total teleop140
Reef
9L4#10
10L3#11
9L2#4
6L1 · trough#7
43Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
2Foul points6
196Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.81.5
61.563.0
Auto16.2
Teleop44.5
End8.1
blue by 10.2
4391
#11
79.11.5
81.680.1
Auto15.0
Teleop54.4
End9.6
Second
2851
#20
50.81.5
47.048.5
Auto7.1
Teleop42.5
End1.1
blue by 1.5
7174
#12
52.31.5
51.950.4
Auto14.7
Teleop31.0
End6.6
Third
3603
#33
40.81.5
38.239.7
Auto6.7
Teleop26.2
End7.9
blue by 11.0
3322
#14
51.81.5
49.548.0
Auto12.4
Teleop31.8
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
75%Coral oddsEarned91%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned