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Qual 662025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red109
686140.0
600248.6
366857.8
Blue174
150655.1
511462.2
485539.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173175120140160200220109174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+43
Endgame+65
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points37
34Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +37
14Coral scored#21
49Coral points76
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
71Total teleop108
Reef
7L4#13
6L3#8
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points0
109Total score174

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#19
57.83.1
58.5→55.4
Auto11.7
Teleop38.8
End7.3
blue by 4.4
5114
#15
62.21.2
57.1→58.3
Auto18.8
Teleop34.8
End8.6
Second
6002
#40
48.63.1
50.2→47.1
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End6.6
blue by 6.5
1506
#17
55.11.2
55.4→56.6
Auto13.0
Teleop33.6
End8.6
Third
6861
#37
40.03.1
43.8→40.7
Auto6.5
Teleop26.8
End6.7
red by 0.9
4855
#26
39.11.2
41.4→42.6
Auto9.1
Teleop27.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned