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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19214310025016697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+57Teleop
+69Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave0
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points16
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +40
16Coral scored#15
59Coral points53
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
24Processor points6
24Net points8
48Algae points14
107Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#9
7L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
0Foul points0
166Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
80.40.0
77.777.6
Auto17.3
Teleop52.3
End10.7
red by 31.9
6570
#21
48.42.3
50.748.4
Auto6.4
Teleop31.2
End10.8
Second
1506
#17
55.10.0
57.357.3
Auto13.0
Teleop33.6
End8.6
red by 16.1
4855
#26
39.12.3
41.339.1
Auto9.1
Teleop27.0
End3.0
Third
31.40.0
31.531.4
Auto6.7
Teleop24.0
End0.8
blue by 5.1
815
#38
36.52.3
38.836.5
Auto7.1
Teleop28.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
74%Coral oddsEarned48%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned