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Qual 792025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red204
366857.8
332251.8
716670.7
Blue177
776973.0
686140.0
584349.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195176100150250204177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points30
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +11
23Coral scored#20
84Coral points71
1Processor algae#4
8Net algae#4
6Processor points24
32Net points16
38Algae points40
122Total teleop111
Reef
13L4#11
10L3#8
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
2Foul points0
204Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7166
#5
70.71.3
67.6→68.9
Auto15.6
Teleop45.4
End9.7
blue by 2.3
7769
#13
73.00.5
71.8→72.3
Auto17.7
Teleop42.8
End12.5
Second
3668
#19
57.81.3
55.4→56.6
Auto11.7
Teleop38.8
End7.3
red by 8.2
5843
#34
49.60.5
46.3→46.9
Auto10.6
Teleop30.7
End8.3
Third
3322
#14
51.81.3
48.7→50.0
Auto12.4
Teleop31.8
End7.7
red by 11.8
6861
#37
40.00.5
39.5→40.0
Auto6.5
Teleop26.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
73%Coral oddsEarned51%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned