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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142201100250300130197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+63
Endgame+65
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +25
9Leave6
1Coral scored#7
6Coral points34
15Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +38
19Coral scored#21
67Coral points75
2Processor algae#5
3Net algae#6
12Processor points30
12Net points24
24Algae points54
91Total teleop129
Reef
8L4#8
6L3#10
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points2
130Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3536
#13
60.40.2
62.762.5
Auto15.3
Teleop35.8
End9.3
blue by 10.1
70.41.0
69.069.9
Auto22.0
Teleop44.3
End4.2
Second
5538
#33
33.80.2
28.628.4
Auto5.2
Teleop21.2
End7.3
blue by 24.1
57.91.0
51.252.1
Auto10.5
Teleop38.7
End8.7
Third
3537
#40
30.80.2
26.626.4
Auto5.7
Teleop22.7
End2.3
blue by 16.4
47.21.0
42.443.4
Auto9.1
Teleop33.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned80%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned