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Red125
654855.7
608842.8
296052.7
Blue113
437539.9
432736.2
261941.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140108050200250300125113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+26Teleop
+28Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +30
18Coral scored#11
64Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
88Total teleop58
Reef
7L4#4
7L3#3
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
2Foul points18
125Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.70.7
42.341.5
Auto13.6
Teleop39.0
End3.1
red by 14.6
2619
#20
41.11.1
35.534.4
Auto9.2
Teleop23.4
End8.6
Second
2960
#15
52.70.7
52.051.3
Auto9.0
Teleop34.7
End9.0
red by 12.8
4375
#39
39.91.1
37.336.3
Auto8.2
Teleop29.4
End2.3
Third
6088
#32
42.80.7
34.233.4
Auto5.0
Teleop30.4
End7.4
red by 6.6
4327
#29
36.21.1
32.631.5
Auto7.2
Teleop28.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned