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Red172
722043.6
118849.5
261941.1
Blue169
1066647.2
608842.8
20145.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145154120130140150160170180172169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+26Auto
+13Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +26
9Leave6
8Coral scored#4
42Coral points19
51Total auto25
TeleoperatedBlue +13
21Coral scored#23
75Coral points84
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
12Processor points12
20Net points24
32Algae points36
107Total teleop120
Reef
15L4#11
6L3#8
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
172Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
#36
49.51.7
42.644.4
Auto14.4
Teleop29.3
End5.7
red by 2.3
47.20.9
47.047.9
Auto9.1
Teleop33.2
End4.9
Second
7220
#31
43.61.7
41.643.3
Auto8.6
Teleop30.9
End4.2
blue by 1.5
201
#18
45.20.9
44.044.9
Auto10.6
Teleop27.4
End7.2
Third
2619
#20
41.11.7
41.042.7
Auto9.2
Teleop23.4
End8.6
blue by 1.7
6088
#32
42.80.9
37.238.1
Auto5.0
Teleop30.4
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned