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Red155
535256.3
719751.9
719648.3
Blue172
496759.9
353660.4
14145.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160181100150200250155172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+1Teleop
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave9
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points25
33Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +2
21Coral scored#18
76Coral points64
2Processor algae#5
7Net algae#5
12Processor points30
28Net points20
40Algae points50
116Total teleop114
Reef
10L4#6
7L3#8
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
155Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5352
#11
56.30.1
53.052.9
Auto14.6
Teleop32.9
End8.8
blue by 4.1
3536
#13
60.40.2
67.868.0
Auto15.3
Teleop35.8
End9.3
Second
7197
#12
51.90.1
53.453.3
Auto8.8
Teleop41.8
End1.4
blue by 8.0
4967
#16
59.90.2
56.756.9
Auto11.7
Teleop40.6
End7.6
Third
7196
#38
48.30.1
50.150.0
Auto8.0
Teleop34.0
End6.3
red by 2.7
141
#35
45.60.2
44.344.5
Auto8.4
Teleop27.5
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
43%Coral oddsEarned39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsMissed99%Barge oddsEarned