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Qual 362025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Aptiv Division
Red193
30265.8
49471.4
1050551.3
Blue112
519348.6
10739.2
566052.0
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193143100250300193112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+69Teleop
+81Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
6Leave6
9Coral scored#3
45Coral points13
51Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +37
27Coral scored#15
96Coral points53
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
128Total teleop91
Reef
13L4#5
9L3#6
9L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
0Foul points0
193Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#4
71.40.8
70.9→71.7
Auto14.7
Teleop45.7
End11.0
red by 19.4
5660
#17
52.01.8
55.4→53.6
Auto11.6
Teleop34.1
End6.3
Second
302
#7
65.80.8
59.4→60.3
Auto19.1
Teleop44.2
End2.5
red by 17.2
5193
#29
48.61.8
39.6→37.8
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End6.6
Third
10505
#23
51.30.8
44.0→44.9
Auto9.6
Teleop41.4
End0.3
red by 12.1
107
#34
39.21.8
38.5→36.7
Auto8.1
Teleop29.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
82%Coral oddsMissed64%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsMissed