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Red217
1063347.8
521673.8
661564.7
Blue157
437727.4
149858.6
967334.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20012950100150250300217157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+76Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave0
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points23
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +55
33Coral scored#15
117Coral points54
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#9
18Processor points18
28Net points36
46Algae points54
163Total teleop108
Reef
15L4#8
12L3#6
10L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
51Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +16
10Cage & park26
10Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
217Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#25
73.81.4
69.370.7
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End4.7
red by 15.2
1498
#11
58.61.3
54.155.3
Auto14.4
Teleop32.7
End11.5
Second
6615
#15
64.71.4
60.461.8
Auto13.2
Teleop49.7
End1.7
red by 30.2
9673
#30
34.51.3
31.833.1
Auto6.0
Teleop21.7
End6.8
Third
47.81.4
41.743.1
Auto6.9
Teleop39.8
End1.1
red by 20.4
4377
#39
27.41.3
28.229.5
Auto4.1
Teleop22.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
93%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed92%Barge oddsEarned