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Red197
91060.1
24555.4
85848.7
Blue176
1034935.1
233779.0
506651.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174177100150200250197176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+9Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
8Coral scored#10
41Coral points49
44Total auto55
TeleoperatedRed +20
25Coral scored#23
91Coral points83
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
127Total teleop107
Reef
9L4#9
11L3#13
7L2#7
6L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#38
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
197Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#9
60.12.0
58.560.5
Auto18.3
Teleop32.1
End9.7
blue by 18.9
79.00.3
72.873.1
Auto21.4
Teleop49.2
End8.3
Second
245
#21
55.42.0
49.151.2
Auto15.3
Teleop34.5
End5.6
red by 4.2
5066
#24
51.20.3
45.746.0
Auto15.8
Teleop33.7
End1.7
Third
858
#20
48.72.0
42.244.2
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End2.1
red by 13.6
35.10.3
35.635.9
Auto7.4
Teleop26.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsEarned92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned