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Red141
515249.7
925525.1
387543.6
Blue201
213772.8
5150.4
634434.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12916350100150200250141201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+40
Endgame+60
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave6
3Coral scored#8
13Coral points41
19Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +12
22Coral scored#22
78Coral points78
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
12Processor points12
16Net points28
28Algae points40
106Total teleop118
Reef
8L4#11
7L3#11
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points0
141Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5152
#27
49.70.3
44.444.7
Auto7.7
Teleop33.1
End8.9
blue by 23.1
72.82.5
70.573.0
Auto20.0
Teleop44.9
End7.9
Second
3875
#36
43.60.3
44.544.8
Auto7.3
Teleop30.0
End6.3
blue by 6.8
51
#14
50.42.5
46.548.9
Auto9.7
Teleop31.7
End9.0
Third
9255
#37
25.10.3
26.426.7
Auto5.3
Teleop18.4
End1.5
blue by 9.0
6344
#28
34.22.5
23.425.8
Auto7.6
Teleop16.6
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed66%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned