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Red154
1060641.4
531440.8
779054.2
Blue189
365661.0
602928.8
170172.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139187100150200250154189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+26
Teleop+33
Endgame+33
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +26
6Leave3
2Coral scored#8
12Coral points41
18Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +7
24Coral scored#25
88Coral points91
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
110Total teleop117
Reef
12L4#12
7L3#9
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points2
154Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7790
#16
54.20.9
48.249.1
Auto9.2
Teleop38.1
End6.9
blue by 17.8
72.00.4
71.271.6
Auto21.0
Teleop43.4
End7.6
Second
41.40.9
31.532.4
Auto7.1
Teleop24.0
End10.3
blue by 19.6
61.00.4
61.461.8
Auto12.7
Teleop39.5
End8.8
Third
5314
#33
40.80.9
42.042.9
Auto8.7
Teleop24.4
End7.7
red by 12.0
6029
#38
28.80.4
27.728.1
Auto4.6
Teleop15.5
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned66%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned