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Red220
22666.1
423760.9
49471.4
Blue180
1034935.1
30265.8
521673.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210194140160180220240260280220180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+22Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave3
7Coral scored#9
37Coral points44
37Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +32
30Coral scored#23
107Coral points83
5Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
30Processor points18
20Net points24
50Algae points42
157Total teleop125
Reef
17L4#13
8L3#9
6L2#7
6L1 · trough#3
47Game pieces#41
BargeRed +18
26Cage & park8
26Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
220Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#4
71.41.0
73.174.1
Auto14.7
Teleop45.7
End11.0
blue by 2.4
5216
#25
73.80.5
70.570.0
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End4.7
Second
226
#2
66.11.0
61.762.7
Auto18.7
Teleop39.5
End7.9
red by 0.3
302
#7
65.80.5
67.867.3
Auto19.1
Teleop44.2
End2.5
Third
4237
#13
60.91.0
56.257.2
Auto14.9
Teleop41.5
End4.4
red by 25.8
35.10.5
35.334.8
Auto7.4
Teleop26.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
91%Coral oddsEarned88%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed