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Red170
663747.7
149858.6
519348.6
Blue185
107665.3
1060641.4
602928.8
74%Model gave it26%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173147100200250170185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave6
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points26
41Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +14
24Coral scored#19
85Coral points67
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#9
12Processor points24
16Net points36
28Algae points60
113Total teleop127
Reef
12L4#11
9L3#5
8L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
170Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1498
#11
58.60.6
56.557.1
Auto14.4
Teleop32.7
End11.5
blue by 6.7
1076
#19
65.33.2
61.464.6
Auto16.8
Teleop45.2
End3.4
Second
5193
#29
48.60.6
45.245.9
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End6.6
red by 7.2
41.43.2
38.441.6
Auto7.1
Teleop24.0
End10.3
Third
6637
#35
47.70.6
47.448.0
Auto13.4
Teleop32.0
End2.3
red by 18.9
6029
#38
28.83.2
25.929.1
Auto4.6
Teleop15.5
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned56%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned