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Red235
85848.7
233779.0
207572.0
Blue189
521673.8
519348.6
22666.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217203150250300235189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+38Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
10Coral scored#8
51Coral points41
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +31
31Coral scored#28
112Coral points101
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
24Processor points12
24Net points16
48Algae points28
160Total teleop129
Reef
16L4#14
9L3#11
9L2#8
7L1 · trough#3
51Game pieces#42
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
235Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.00.7
78.479.1
Auto21.4
Teleop49.2
End8.3
red by 5.2
5216
#25
73.80.1
73.773.6
Auto19.8
Teleop49.4
End4.7
Second
72.00.7
71.572.2
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End9.8
red by 5.9
226
#2
66.10.1
66.065.9
Auto18.7
Teleop39.5
End7.9
Third
858
#20
48.70.7
48.148.8
Auto10.1
Teleop36.5
End2.1
Level
5193
#29
48.60.1
48.548.4
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End6.6