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Red215
49471.4
5150.4
317573.1
Blue212
30265.8
107665.3
365661.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21320750100150250300350215212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+1
+9Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
9Coral scored#10
45Coral points49
48Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +9
26Coral scored#18
95Coral points66
3Processor algae#5
7Net algae#9
18Processor points30
28Net points36
46Algae points66
141Total teleop132
Reef
15L4#9
9L3#9
4L2#5
7L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#42
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points6
215Total score212

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#22
73.10.3
72.773.1
Auto17.5
Teleop47.2
End8.4
red by 7.3
302
#7
65.80.2
65.665.8
Auto19.1
Teleop44.2
End2.5
Second
494
#4
71.40.3
71.071.3
Auto14.7
Teleop45.7
End11.0
red by 6.1
1076
#19
65.30.2
65.165.3
Auto16.8
Teleop45.2
End3.4
Third
51
#14
50.40.3
50.050.4
Auto9.7
Teleop31.7
End9.0
blue by 10.6
61.00.2
60.861.0
Auto12.7
Teleop39.5
End8.8