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Red182
440543.2
714517.9
557746.1
Blue139
590131.0
553219.1
267330.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1278950100150200182139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave3
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +7
18Coral scored#21
66Coral points75
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
24Processor points12
28Net points24
52Algae points36
118Total teleop111
Reef
11L4#8
6L3#8
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +43
18Foul points0
182Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.10.8
44.645.4
Auto8.6
Teleop35.1
End2.4
red by 15.1
5901
#24
31.00.9
30.131.0
Auto2.3
Teleop23.9
End4.8
Second
43.20.8
41.742.5
Auto12.1
Teleop24.8
End6.3
red by 12.8
2673
#15
30.40.9
29.530.4
Auto4.3
Teleop23.5
End2.5
Third
7145
#22
17.90.8
16.417.2
Auto2.2
Teleop12.5
End3.2
blue by 1.3
5532
#10
19.10.9
18.219.1
Auto4.7
Teleop12.8
End1.6