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Red27
819323.9
71914.7
661615.8
Blue17
519710.7
653218.3
43905.3
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605402040801001201402717

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
3Coral scored#2
9Coral points6
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
13Total teleop6
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
4Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
6Foul points0
27Total score17

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.92.0
23.421.4
Auto3.4
Teleop18.7
End1.9
red by 5.7
18.33.4
20.416.9
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End2.7
Second
6616
#20
15.83.3
12.59.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.8
End0.9
red by 5.1
5197
#34
10.73.4
13.19.6
Auto3.7
Teleop5.6
End1.3
Third
7191
#24
4.73.3
12.49.1
Auto1.7
Teleop1.5
End1.4
blue by 0.7
4390
#33
5.33.4
11.68.2
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed