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Red11
570213.3
554720.0
483512.0
Blue74
924921.8
973315.5
611220.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695502040801001201401601174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+23
Endgame+37
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +12
0Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
3Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +11
2Coral scored#3
6Coral points9
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
6Total teleop17
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points26
11Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5547
#24
20.05.3
21.816.5
Auto2.6
Teleop14.7
End2.7
blue by 1.8
21.80.2
16.516.3
Auto4.0
Teleop15.9
End1.9
Second
5702
#31
13.35.3
17.011.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.4
End1.9
blue by 7.2
6112
#15
20.50.2
20.220.0
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End5.6
Third
4835
#21
12.05.3
20.114.8
Auto2.6
Teleop7.8
End1.7
blue by 3.5
9733
#18
15.50.2
12.912.7
Auto3.1
Teleop11.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned