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Red58
549819.7
785611.5
543635.0
Blue101
6846.6
360435.5
341433.8
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions761135010015058101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+25
Endgame+37
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +11
7Coral scored#8
25Coral points30
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
47Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
0Foul points6
58Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#13
35.01.6
34.032.4
Auto7.5
Teleop19.5
End8.1
blue by 11.6
68
#6
46.60.4
27.627.2
Auto8.7
Teleop30.8
End7.2
Second
5498
#32
19.71.6
20.118.5
Auto5.1
Teleop13.7
End0.8
blue by 15.9
3604
#23
35.50.4
34.333.9
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End2.4
Third
7856
#27
11.51.6
15.714.1
Auto5.9
Teleop4.4
End1.2
blue by 22.3
33.80.4
33.933.5
Auto9.0
Teleop21.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned