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Red111
353856.8
759712.3
557734.9
Blue92
586020.7
657034.7
776950.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions879940608012014011192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+19Teleop
+13Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points4
26Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +6
13Coral scored#15
47Coral points55
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
79Total teleop73
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
6Foul points0
111Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.82.2
41.543.7
Auto18.1
Teleop37.6
End1.1
red by 6.8
50.10.2
39.138.9
Auto8.0
Teleop33.8
End8.3
Second
34.92.2
21.824.0
Auto4.8
Teleop29.1
End1.0
red by 0.2
6570
#10
34.70.2
25.024.8
Auto3.6
Teleop25.2
End5.9
Third
7597
#26
12.32.2
13.916.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.0
blue by 8.4
5860
#18
20.70.2
21.221.0
Auto5.4
Teleop15.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed