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Qual 62025 FIM District Ferndale Event presented by Magna
Red31
125023.5
102536.9
967916.5
Blue93
3360.4
170150.8
1057712.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8411340601001201401603193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+74
Endgame+72
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +60
1Coral scored#12
4Coral points42
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
0Processor points6
0Net points16
0Algae points22
4Total teleop64
Reef
1L4#8
1L3#3
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
3Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
12Foul points2
31Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1025
#5
36.96.3
31.1→24.8
Auto10.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
blue by 23.5
33
#1
60.40.6
40.7→40.1
Auto11.6
Teleop39.7
End9.1
Second
1250
#25
23.56.3
29.1→22.8
Auto6.1
Teleop14.1
End3.3
blue by 27.3
1701
#2
50.80.6
38.1→37.5
Auto14.9
Teleop34.6
End1.3
Third
9679
#16
16.56.3
15.6→9.3
Auto5.8
Teleop7.0
End3.7
red by 3.7
10577
#28
12.81.7
15.5→17.2
Auto4.5
Teleop5.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsMissed