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Red64
30232.7
509019.4
118835.6
Blue33
438415.8
656616.7
516712.2
85%Model gave it15%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions986502040801201401606433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+27Teleop
+25Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points3
15Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +18
7Coral scored#4
25Coral points13
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
41Total teleop23
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
6Foul points0
64Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
#12
35.63.7
22.318.6
Auto4.7
Teleop28.7
End2.2
red by 18.8
6566
#19
16.73.9
20.216.3
Auto3.2
Teleop10.1
End3.5
Second
302
#14
32.73.7
33.930.2
Auto7.5
Teleop24.3
End0.9
red by 17.0
4384
#22
15.83.9
16.212.3
Auto2.7
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
5090
#15
19.43.7
26.723.0
Auto6.6
Teleop9.4
End3.4
red by 7.1
5167
#31
12.23.9
23.819.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed