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Qual 392025 Kettering Kickoff (Day 2)
Red132
10724.3
365655.3
54845.5
Blue150
150646.2
557735.6
317542.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142127050100200250132150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+20
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave9
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points35
26Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +2
17Coral scored#18
62Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
90Total teleop92
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#10
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
132Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#32
55.30.1
54.1→54.1
Auto11.8
Teleop34.2
End9.2
red by 9.1
1506
#9
46.22.2
43.2→45.3
Auto17.1
Teleop23.5
End5.5
Second
548
#22
45.50.1
45.5→45.5
Auto7.5
Teleop33.1
End4.9
red by 2.7
3175
#31
42.72.2
38.0→40.1
Auto11.7
Teleop27.8
End3.3
Third
107
#30
24.30.1
24.3→24.3
Auto3.7
Teleop21.0
End-0.4
blue by 11.4
5577
#24
35.62.2
33.5→35.6
Auto5.9
Teleop28.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
64%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned