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Red143
2757.4
779037.9
233777.1
Blue114
686134.0
6852.6
553111.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21588050150250300350143114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+19Teleop
+31Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave3
8Coral scored#4
39Coral points20
48Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +6
12Coral scored#19
43Coral points67
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
79Total teleop85
Reef
8L4#9
4L3#7
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#27
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points2
143Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.13.3
80.477.1
Auto19.8
Teleop49.7
End7.5
red by 24.4
68
#28
52.60.5
52.152.6
Auto15.1
Teleop30.6
End7.0
Second
27
#16
57.43.3
59.956.6
Auto14.5
Teleop33.4
End9.5
red by 23.4
34.00.5
29.930.4
Auto8.1
Teleop19.5
End6.4
Third
7790
#34
37.93.3
41.237.9
Auto10.0
Teleop24.3
End3.6
red by 26.5
5531
#35
11.40.5
10.911.4
Auto1.0
Teleop10.7
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
72%Coral oddsEarned40%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsMissed