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Red209
654854.0
957228.5
3373.9
Blue130
353852.2
749122.0
353957.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179158050100200250300209130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+79Teleop
+79Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave3
8Coral scored#4
38Coral points20
47Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +55
29Coral scored#15
106Coral points53
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
24Processor points18
16Net points20
40Algae points38
146Total teleop91
Reef
18L4#5
7L3#7
5L2#4
7L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points0
209Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#25
73.93.1
71.274.3
Auto14.4
Teleop50.4
End9.1
red by 16.1
3539
#27
57.81.3
55.454.1
Auto15.9
Teleop34.1
End7.7
Second
6548
#11
54.03.1
51.354.4
Auto17.2
Teleop36.0
End0.8
red by 1.8
3538
#26
52.21.3
52.451.2
Auto12.7
Teleop38.2
End1.2
Third
9572
#29
28.53.1
24.127.2
Auto3.4
Teleop20.1
End5.1
red by 6.5
7491
#36
22.01.3
23.322.0
Auto1.6
Teleop17.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned