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Red223
439860.5
171147.2
376785.4
Blue251
546090.5
168442.0
233788.1
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17423250100150200250300223251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
8Coral scored#6
42Coral points30
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +37
29Coral scored#28
106Coral points99
3Processor algae#7
6Net algae#11
18Processor points42
24Net points44
42Algae points86
148Total teleop185
Reef
15L4#12
11L3#8
8L2#7
3L1 · trough#7
46Game pieces#52
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
223Total score251

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.43.7
76.880.5
Auto18.4
Teleop58.9
End8.0
blue by 5.1
90.52.5
88.390.8
Auto21.1
Teleop60.8
End8.6
Second
60.53.7
52.055.7
Auto8.3
Teleop51.4
End0.8
blue by 27.6
88.12.5
85.988.4
Auto21.7
Teleop58.0
End8.4
Third
47.23.7
38.742.4
Auto9.4
Teleop30.6
End7.2
red by 5.2
42.02.5
39.842.2
Auto6.2
Teleop32.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed87%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed