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Qual 112025 Kettering All-Star Alliance Invitational
Red268
170176.8
776983.2
439190.3
Blue123
661563.5
57343.3
296054.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286170100150200250350400268123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+133Teleop
+145Endgame
+145Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
3Leave6
11Coral scored#2
55Coral points10
58Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +91
38Coral scored#18
138Coral points63
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#6
18Processor points6
28Net points24
46Algae points30
184Total teleop93
Reef
20L4#7
13L3#6
10L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
59Game pieces#27
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +145
0Foul points0
268Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#2
90.30.7
90.9→91.5
Auto16.6
Teleop63.6
End10.1
red by 26.8
6615
#6
63.52.8
62.9→60.1
Auto12.9
Teleop47.8
End2.8
Second
7769
#2
83.20.7
83.7→84.4
Auto16.5
Teleop56.0
End10.6
red by 28.5
2960
#6
54.62.8
54.1→51.3
Auto9.8
Teleop34.8
End10.0
Third
1701
#2
76.80.7
77.3→78.0
Auto20.4
Teleop47.4
End8.9
red by 33.5
573
#6
43.32.8
42.7→39.9
Auto6.3
Teleop27.3
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
66%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed