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Red206
50338.9
341469.9
283276.7
Blue263
276784.7
213784.7
3383.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180280100150200250300350206263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+67
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
7Coral scored#5
33Coral points24
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +70
26Coral scored#40
93Coral points143
4Processor algae#6
5Net algae#7
24Processor points36
20Net points28
44Algae points64
137Total teleop207
Reef
10L4#13
11L3#15
8L2#10
4L1 · trough#7
42Game pieces#58
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
206Total score263

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.71.0
72.873.9
Auto14.7
Teleop53.1
End8.8
blue by 8.1
84.70.3
83.983.6
Auto17.1
Teleop55.0
End12.7
Second
69.91.0
66.167.1
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End7.7
blue by 14.7
84.70.3
83.883.5
Auto15.1
Teleop60.2
End9.4
Third
503
#5
38.91.0
35.036.1
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End8.9
blue by 44.6
33
#1
83.50.3
82.782.4
Auto18.5
Teleop54.4
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed51%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed