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Red168
439860.5
171147.2
376785.4
Blue164
661563.5
57343.3
296054.6
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions199169100150250300168164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+14Teleop
+2Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points27
34Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +7
19Coral scored#16
70Coral points59
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#10
24Processor points12
24Net points40
48Algae points52
118Total teleop111
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#6
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
2Foul points0
168Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.41.7
80.578.8
Auto18.4
Teleop58.9
End8.0
red by 21.9
63.50.2
60.160.0
Auto12.9
Teleop47.8
End2.8
Second
60.51.7
55.754.0
Auto8.3
Teleop51.4
End0.8
red by 5.9
54.60.2
51.351.1
Auto9.8
Teleop34.8
End10.0
Third
47.21.7
42.440.7
Auto9.4
Teleop30.6
End7.2
red by 4.0
573
#6
43.30.2
39.939.8
Auto6.3
Teleop27.3
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed