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Red289
276784.7
213784.7
3383.5
Blue201
661563.5
57343.3
296054.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277161100200250300350289201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+90Teleop
+100Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points28
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +76
41Coral scored#28
146Coral points102
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
24Processor points12
32Net points12
56Algae points24
202Total teleop126
Reef
20L4#11
15L3#11
11L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
63Game pieces#39
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +88
0Foul points12
289Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.71.1
82.883.9
Auto17.1
Teleop55.0
End12.7
red by 21.3
63.50.4
62.662.9
Auto12.9
Teleop47.8
End2.8
Second
84.71.1
82.783.8
Auto15.1
Teleop60.2
End9.4
red by 30.0
54.60.4
53.754.1
Auto9.8
Teleop34.8
End10.0
Third
33
#1
83.51.1
81.682.7
Auto18.5
Teleop54.4
End10.6
red by 40.2
573
#6
43.30.4
42.442.7
Auto6.3
Teleop27.3
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
64%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed