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Qual 82025 Kettering All-Star Alliance Invitational
Red182
50338.9
341469.9
283276.7
Blue222
546090.5
168442.0
233788.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184228100150200250300182222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+40
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
7Coral scored#9
35Coral points44
44Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +37
24Coral scored#28
88Coral points101
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#6
12Processor points24
12Net points24
24Algae points48
112Total teleop149
Reef
14L4#17
7L3#8
7L2#5
3L1 · trough#7
36Game pieces#47
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
182Total score222

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#5
76.70.4
72.4→72.8
Auto14.7
Teleop53.1
End8.8
blue by 13.9
5460
#3
90.50.5
87.8→88.3
Auto21.1
Teleop60.8
End8.6
Second
3414
#5
69.90.4
65.7→66.1
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End7.7
blue by 18.2
2337
#3
88.10.5
85.5→85.9
Auto21.7
Teleop58.0
End8.4
Third
503
#5
38.90.4
34.6→35.0
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End8.9
blue by 3.1
1684
#3
42.00.5
39.3→39.8
Auto6.2
Teleop32.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
48%Coral oddsMissed94%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed