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Red193
439860.5
171147.2
376785.4
Blue275
170176.8
776983.2
439190.3
3%Model gave it97%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16927550100150200250300350193275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+72
Endgame+84
Fouls+82
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave0
4Coral scored#12
21Coral points58
30Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +44
21Coral scored#33
77Coral points117
4Processor algae#6
9Net algae#7
24Processor points36
36Net points28
60Algae points64
137Total teleop181
Reef
9L4#22
7L3#9
5L2#9
4L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#58
BargeBlue +12
24Cage & park36
24Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +82
2Foul points0
193Total score275

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.42.0
74.976.8
Auto18.4
Teleop58.9
End8.0
blue by 4.9
90.31.9
88.990.9
Auto16.6
Teleop63.6
End10.1
Second
60.52.0
50.052.0
Auto8.3
Teleop51.4
End0.8
blue by 22.7
83.21.9
81.883.7
Auto16.5
Teleop56.0
End10.6
Third
47.22.0
36.738.7
Auto9.4
Teleop30.6
End7.2
blue by 29.5
76.81.9
75.477.3
Auto20.4
Teleop47.4
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed78%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsMissed