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Qual 212025 Kettering All-Star Alliance Invitational
Red263
546090.5
168442.0
233788.1
Blue144
661563.5
57343.3
296054.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25515650100200300350263144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+97Teleop
+117Endgame
+119Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
6Leave0
10Coral scored#5
52Coral points23
58Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +62
33Coral scored#21
119Coral points77
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
24Processor points12
24Net points16
48Algae points28
167Total teleop105
Reef
21L4#12
10L3#4
5L2#5
7L1 · trough#5
53Game pieces#32
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +119
2Foul points0
263Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#3
90.52.3
92.5→94.8
Auto21.1
Teleop60.8
End8.6
red by 27.0
6615
#6
63.50.5
60.0→59.5
Auto12.9
Teleop47.8
End2.8
Second
2337
#3
88.12.3
90.1→92.4
Auto21.7
Teleop58.0
End8.4
red by 33.5
2960
#6
54.60.5
51.1→50.7
Auto9.8
Teleop34.8
End10.0
Third
1684
#3
42.02.3
44.0→46.3
Auto6.2
Teleop32.5
End3.3
blue by 1.3
573
#6
43.30.5
39.8→39.3
Auto6.3
Teleop27.3
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
52%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed