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Red283
276784.7
213784.7
3383.5
Blue219
341469.9
50338.9
283276.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309206150250350283219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+36Teleop
+56Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave3
11Coral scored#5
55Coral points27
58Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +8
38Coral scored#34
135Coral points123
3Processor algae#5
7Net algae#5
18Processor points30
28Net points20
46Algae points50
181Total teleop173
Reef
18L4#18
13L3#9
12L2#6
6L1 · trough#6
59Game pieces#49
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +64
8Foul points0
283Total score219

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.70.2
85.885.6
Auto17.1
Teleop55.0
End12.7
red by 8.1
76.70.1
76.576.7
Auto14.7
Teleop53.1
End8.8
Second
84.70.2
85.785.5
Auto15.1
Teleop60.2
End9.4
red by 14.7
69.90.1
69.869.9
Auto17.3
Teleop44.8
End7.7
Third
33
#1
83.50.2
84.584.3
Auto18.5
Teleop54.4
End10.6
red by 44.6
503
#5
38.90.1
38.738.9
Auto9.9
Teleop20.1
End8.9