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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87730204060801001201409934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+53Teleop
+65Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +43
12Coral scored#5
42Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
64Total teleop21
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#6
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points0
99Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.23.0
30.533.5
Auto9.3
Teleop32.6
End8.3
red by 23.7
5907
#18
26.53.3
27.724.4
Auto3.4
Teleop22.2
End0.9
Second
7784
#14
30.61.8
23.925.7
Auto4.8
Teleop22.3
End3.5
red by 10.4
9662
#19
20.33.3
16.112.8
Auto4.7
Teleop14.3
End1.3
Third
9572
#33
24.23.0
17.820.8
Auto2.8
Teleop19.5
End1.9
red by 13.0
5517
#23
11.33.3
20.016.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed