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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions935702040801201407565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+12Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
1Coral points12
10Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +14
10Coral scored#6
37Coral points23
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
61Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#3
1L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
75Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.81.1
35.234.1
Auto10.1
Teleop44.8
End2.9
red by 34.4
5046
#11
23.40.5
18.719.2
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End6.9
Second
314
#29
15.81.1
21.520.4
Auto2.6
Teleop11.8
End1.4
red by 0.9
6610
#39
14.90.5
18.519.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End1.8
Third
9242
#28
14.71.1
20.018.9
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End1.6
red by 1.2
13.60.5
14.915.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed