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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5779020401001205573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+18
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +10
6Coral scored#9
22Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
6Processor points12
12Net points4
18Algae points16
40Total teleop50
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points8
55Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8426
#35
25.30.8
19.318.4
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End2.1
red by 0.9
5561
#15
24.40.8
24.123.3
Auto3.1
Teleop14.2
End7.1
Second
5878
#20
19.90.8
18.417.5
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.0
blue by 0.6
6085
#25
20.51.3
20.719.4
Auto3.9
Teleop15.8
End0.8
Third
9731
#26
12.30.8
11.911.1
Auto1.8
Teleop8.0
End2.5
blue by 4.6
9251
#34
16.81.3
17.215.9
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsMissed